by Mike Banks Valentine copyright
© 2003
Yahoo abruptly
quit using Google as a search partner last week in a
surprise move that has the search industry now scrambling
for statistics to analyze and numbers to bandy about.
I'd like to share some rarely discussed statistics and
numbers with you here.
First the numbers and stats from the press, then I'll
share a few of my own. Here are the stats that are getting
the most attention for the Yahoo search story.
Share of searches performed by U.S. users
(source: comScore Media Metrix)
Google = 35%
Yahoo = 28%
AOL (powered by Google) = 16%
MSN = 15%
ALL Others = 6%
Charts and analysis of this statistical lie can be seen
at:
http://www.searchenginewatch.com/reports/article.php/2156431
As an SEO specialist, I don't care if Yahoo and MSN
together get almost 40 percent of all searches performed
as long as Google delivers nearly triple the REFERRED
traffic of either of those also-rans.
I love those numbers presented by comScore. The problem
is that it has nothing to do with search engine REFERRED
TRAFFIC to webmasters. I did a small study of client
traffic stats last year and found in EVERY case that
Google delivered over 70% of referred traffic to client
sites and one gets nearly 90% of his referred traffic
from Google! Those included some new clients as well
as several of those I'd been working with for up to
a couple of years. This indicates to me that it's not
the work I do that favors Google, and that it is a similar
result across many types of sites, optimized or not.
My
article discussing
these numbers was picked up in half a dozen places
and debated in a forum or two because it seems shocking
to imagine Google dominating at that level.
If you scroll down the page at that SearchEngineWatch
page linked above, you'll see another chart that reflects
Google's reach and, guess what? It's actually closer
to 70% due to the fact that Google powers AOL and, up
until last week, Yahoo.
Now I expect the 28% loss from Yahoo will make those
numbers fluctuate a bit in coming months as searchers
decide whether they like the results they get from Yahoo
search without Google powered results. Now that Yahoo
search will no longer be contributing to Google's 70%
of referred traffic, I suspect it will vary from last
year if webmasters look at their traffic stats at the
end of next month. I'll look forward to THOSE numbers!
Still, I'll wager that if you look at your client traffic
stats for search engine referrals that delivered traffic
from Google FAR outdoes traffic from any other search
engine for some time to come. When that changes, then
it will start to matter. Until it changes - who cares
even if Yahoo and MSN search get double their current
"Searches performed" when the referred traffic they
deliver is just a fraction of that?
Who cares if the competitors are at 27% of searches
performed if they deliver only 5% of their referred
traffic? What do people do when they get results at
Yahoo and MSN search? They must stay there, follow paid
links, or give up their search and go shopping if they
aren't ending up clicking through from those oroganic
results to the top ranking sites!
I have multiple top ranking terms at MSN and Yahoo for
several clients that get trickles of traffic from both
of those sites, EVEN THOUGH those very same search phrases
deliver dramatically higher traffic from Google - and
in cases where they rank lower at Google! Puzzling,
eh?
Google delivers traffic. The others don't deliver at
even half the rate that Google does. So I simply don't
care that nearly a third of searches are done elsewhere.
I am going to work on ranking well for the search engine
that DELIVERS VISITORS from organic search.
I'll pay for traffic from the others if necessary since
they don't deliver on even TOP RANKING searches. I believe
that is because the searches at MSN and Yahoo sites
and their search partners have too many flashing, blinking,
prominently placed, paid ads dominating the SERP's.
Yahoo and MSN may get lots of searchers searching, but
if those searchers don't click through on those top
ranking organic results - what earthly good does it
do to rank well in organic results at those search engines?
I suspect that Yahoo will profit nicely from Overture,
and since they appear to be so highly profit-driven
(yes, I agree that is a good thing for business, but
bad for search) then the results will be profit driven
too. Paid results will dominate at both Yahoo and MSN
and they will continue to deliver far less organic search
referred traffic than does Google.
Until I see some changes in referred traffic, I'll bet
some serious money that Google will continue to deliver
over 50% of all referred search traffic to everyone
due to the emphasis on relevance above profit.
The impending Google IPO makes me nervous about all
of this because Google will have to do as the others
do and emphasize paid results on the SERP's at a much
higher level than they do now in order to keep investors
happy. Investor pressure.
Those two clearly marked sponsored ads at the top of
the page and clear boxed Adwords ads along the right
will be charming memories in short order. We'll see
paid links grow to dominate the Google SERP's and it
wouldn't surprise me if they started running banner
ads in addition.
Statistics from the webmaster perspective show Google
sending nearly triple the traffic of all other search
engines combined. That's the only statistic that webmasters
care about.